Yauheni Preiherman, Director of the Minsk Dialogue Council on International Relations, joins Olga Oliker and Hugh Pope in this week's War & Peace podcast. They discuss the realities of the Belarus' border crisis and Lukashenka’s motives in fomenting it, asking whether his gamble has backfired. They also review Belarus’ foreign policy trajectory, its past overtures toward the West and its complicated relationship with Moscow. They talk about regional implications of the standoff with Europe and assess what Belarus tells us about how small states can and cannot navigate increasingly belligerent great power competition.